Saturday, July 31, 2021

Why Joe Biden Will Always Be A Bad Omen For Pakistan & How Russia, China Could Help It Counterbalance The US?

It was evident even before Joe Biden’s inauguration day that, henceforth, the US would officially adopt an anti-Pakistan policy, much to the glee of India. However, Islamabad may think of getting some help from China and Russia to counterbalance Washington.

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Biden’s predecessor Donald Trump did not bring any fresh war. He had to lose solely to the US establishment as he did not give in to the Coronavirus ‘plandemic’ – not pandemic – and exposed how the US hospitals bunched all deaths under the Covid-19 category, besides calling the killing of Osama Bin Laden as a “well-crafted drama” of the then Obama administration when Biden was VP.

He also ridiculed the fact that the Pentagon wanted to keep the war-contractors (read Blackwater) happy and did not want to withdraw from the ruinous war of 20 years in Afghanistan.

Finally, the anti-Pakistan crusade has been kick-started by the US as all decks are cleared for the self-confessed Zionist Joseph Biden, who is now slated to give a free-run to Blackwater in Afghanistan after Trump gave a ‘pardon’ to the private military company’s murder convicts recently.

It’s in Afghanistan where even ISIS, which allegedly enjoys US support, is all set to align with it, apart from Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan and Baluchistan Liberation Army, the organizations rabidly against Pakistan.

The forces within the Ashraf Ghani government have traditionally been friends with India. The latest visit of the Indian National Security Advisor Ajit Doval, as per The Indian Express, to Afghanistan on January 14, 2021, where he met his counterpart Hamdullah Mohib to hold “extensive conversations on issues of strategic mutual interest, including on synchronizing efforts to combat terrorism and build peace,” is all but a grand successful policy of India, which very ably has blunted the Taliban agenda to interfere in Kashmir for the past two decades.

Ajit Doval with Hamdullah Mohib (file photo)

But now, a new world order in the wake of Covid-19 has emerged. As the world went into ‘pain and turmoil’ with millions of people dead, it turned out to be a time of harvest moon for Israel which formalized relations with the UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco with the blessings of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA).

KSA itself is planning to forge a grand alliance to wage a war on Iran with the help of Israel and the US, an inevitable outcome. What will follow is chaos and destruction across all Arab nations (of course, after in-fighting), and Israel reigning supreme with Israelization of KSA education policy having already begun, as reported by The Eurasian Times on January 16, 2021.

Which country is likely to throw a spanner in Israel’s overall agenda for supremacy if not Pakistan, which is also an ideological state pitted against the traditional foe India, having fought multiple wars with it since 1947. Now India is aligned with the KSA, Israel, and the US under Biden who is set to pave the way for more trouble for Pakistan as he has appointed the most crucial Deputy Director of CIA David S. Cohen, according to the New York Times on January 15, 2021.

He will remain at the post until he succeeds his boss to become the CIA Director. Trump made Jerusalem the capital of Israel and the self-confessed Zionist Biden will only help further reinforce that decision. Is it a mere coincidence that Israeli intelligence Mossad chief is Yossi Cohen?

David S. Cohen is the same trusted man of Biden who was a part of his VP team when the ‘Arab Spring’ was ‘gifted’ to the Arabian Peninsula and is privy to every sensitive spot in Pakistan. It was Biden who launched the ‘Do-More’ campaign under Obama in Pakistan to hunt down terrorists as that country was brought to its knees. With Cohen now again at the helm, every Pakistani-origin citizen in the US will, therefore, be under the scanner.

Moreover, Cohen will also be free to exercise his great clout in the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) to blacklist Pakistan at the earliest and de-categorize it from the existing grey list. Of course, China will help to veto it in Pakistan’s favor. India will sit pretty, despite the allegations, on 44 Indian banks said to have been unearthed by Suspicious Activity Reports submitted by the US Financial Crimes Enforcement Network as reported by The Indian Express on September 24, 2020.

Pakistan is desperately trying to get out of the FATF scrutiny with the help of now Russia too. India wishes to put Pakistan back on the blacklist, if not to continue under the grey list.

Since now the US is moving out of Afghanistan, licking its wounds, expect a massive worldwide media campaign launched soon labeling Pakistan as the safest haven for terrorists, along with Iran, as a sanctuary for the Al Qaeda.

Pakistan did not comply with the US demand to provide its Shamsi Base to attack Iran after Qasem Soleimani killing in January last. Hence, Pakistan, the already dropped non-NATO ally, will be bunched together with Iran and Afghan-Taliban, which are all anathema to Israel and to the interests of India.

The US policies towards Middle-East, India-Pakistan, Afghan-Taliban, or Indo-Pacific are expected to be on the pattern already set into motion by Trump with renewed rigor. And also, the US is now ‘gloves off’ with Pakistan, as on February 27, 2019, when India-Pakistan engaged in an intense dogfight, Trump had hinted that “We have some good news, India-Pakistan tensions may end soon,” but now, the US does not have any such compulsions as it had back then when it was concerned about the safe return of its soldiers from Afghanistan.

The US’ most trusted ally in the Middle East, KSA Foreign Minister Faisal Al Farhan, had to visit Moscow on January 14, 2021, to perpetuate the rhetoric of Iranian expansionism and meddling in Syria, but it was only for Russia’s gain that Iran had helped Bashar Al-Assad to continue to remain in office.

Faisal Al Farhan wanted to placate Russia to not perpetuate the ‘oil war’ further between Russian President Vladimir Putin and KSA Crown Prince MbS, as the latter wanted Russia to cut its oil production to help the oil prices remain stable. However, Putin did not relent and the KSA oil plummeted to below zero, which resulted in China stockpiling its oil reserves for free.

Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan during a joint press conference with his Russian counterpart, Sergey Lavrov, in Moscow

Faisal Al Farhan is also expected to visit Islamabad soon with ‘sweet offers’ to please Pakistan as Islamabad has for the last six months steered clear of KSA influence to embrace Israel. But before that, his brush with Sergey Lavrov who in June last had met Pakistan PM Imran Khan was sure to have sent a message that Russia and Pakistan are now all out for a long-term friendship, solely as China has nudged them together at the cost of India, which has now gone into the US kitty.

China has wrecked the KSA economy to no end. KSA is now the third-largest supplier of oil to China before it was once at number one. KSA Vision-2030 is now almost in the doldrums and there is no sign of the grandest project Neom City going ahead.

China has entered into a 25-year military and trade deal of 400 billion USD with Iran, and along with Russia, the communist nation is trying to persuade Pakistan to start to import oil from Iran, despite the sanctions, while Pakistan has returned 2 billion USD interest-based loan back to KSA with China’s help. Faisal Farhan will now need to think a million times before summoning the courage to propose Pakistan hug Israel even when all the 22 Arab states are high on chutzpah.

It was not long back when the KSA had sought Indian help in the Putin-MbS spat but what when India too has lost its leverage over Russia? Whereas, on the contrary, Russia is now backing Pakistan and plans to invest 14 billion USD in the country’s energy sector alone, in order to transport gas pipeline from Karachi to Lahore, just before the world went into lockdown.

And by December 5, 2020, Pakistan Today reported that Russia had been granted access to the Arabian sea’s warm waters from Gwadar Port, Balochistan, which is the tail-end of the most ambitious China-Pakistan Economic Corridor project.

This will be a roller-coaster for Pakistan’s future economy. Therefore, Faisal Farhan got the indication that Russia will now onwards put into force its influence in a non-US world everywhere to help Pakistan, which could happen solely due to China, which along with Pakistan is brimming for a war with India. It was on November 5, 2020, when the US elections had just finished that Russia-Pakistan military exercises had taken place.

The message from Lavrov to Farhan has been hard. But, KSA, which is now supposed to be very soon getting to its last casket of loan back from Pakistan, will not relent that easily as now the UAE under the tutelage of KSA, which has already banned Pakistani visas at Israel’s behest may soon resort to seeking the return of its money from Pakistan’s foreign reserves, as has been reported by Hindustan Times on January 18, 2021.

While Pakistani visas are not being issued citing the Covid-19 pandemic, more than 66,000 Israeli tourists have visited the UAE since August 2020, reported Middle East Monitor on January 19, 2021, after the embassies between the two were opened.

Pakistan has never been so humiliated by KSA and the UAE in the last 70 years. The probability of Pakistan’s labor force being sent back from the Gulf is also very much on the cards and India has pitched-in to fill up the vacuum. If the UAE seeks the return of its money by January 24, 2021, then it is a foregone conclusion that the UAE-Pakistan-KSA relations will hit rock-bottom.

It was just 24 hours prior to his inauguration that Joseph Biden nominated the Four-Star General Lloyd Austin as Secretary of Defense who in his first remarks targeted Pakistan. According to India Today on January 20, 2021, Austin said he will push Pakistan to stop the nation from being used as safe haven for militants, terrorists, and extremist organizations. While speaking at the Senate Armed Services Committee, he said “Pakistan’s progress against anti-India terror groups like Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammad is incomplete”.

Biden is now supposed to broaden the vision of QUAD which is the prime scourge for Russia and has been a thorn towards its relations with India since it considers it to be an anti-China grouping. The US is now pro-India without the supposed friend of India’s PM Narendra Modi – Donald Trump. After all, BECA is what sticks both together.

The terse message from the US to Imran Khan was all coming. Pakistan also as a counter-balance has sent General Bilal Akbar as its ambassador to the KSA on January 19, 2021, which is a clear message that Pakistan is to engage with KSA not only at the diplomatic level but also at its ‘establishment-level’. This had to be perhaps necessitated after the first-ever visit of India’s military Chief Gen. M.M. Naravane to KSA.

Pakistan has long been with China and its place in the Russian domain was first marked at Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan where Putin and Imran Khan were seen in excellent rapport, and while, all the SCO participants remained in Presidential Palace, India’s PM Narendra Modi stayed at Orion Hotel, informed Indian Express on June 15, 2019. Only 50 days later, Modi annulled the special status of Jammu and Kashmir under Article 370, and since then, a war against India by China, along with Pakistan, is brimming in the Himalayas.

How the US aligns China to the Indian advantage will be very interesting to watch as the latter, as per NDTV on January 18, 2021, is said to have constructed 101 homes five km inside the Indian territory of Arunachal Pradesh, which China calls as South-Tibet. It will also be interesting to see how the US facilitates the making of Greater-Israel, which is to be spread across all the Arab lands.

The erstwhile Turkish empire from which part Palestine, Israel was created has also staked to reclaim Jerusalem which is now the capital of Israel. Pakistan, Iran, Malaysia, Turkey, Afghan-Taliban, Russia, and China are on one side while the US, KSA, Japan, Taiwan, Australia, India, and Israel are on the other.

Let’s see how the world assimilates to the post-Covid-19 scenario after the onset of the year 2021 as this time around Blackwater is set to come down along with ISIS on helicopters and there are accusations that the Afghan-Taliban has unleashed “Fire from the Sky” by using drones, reported The Diplomat on December 22, 2020.

A very chaotic world perhaps awaits Joseph Biden’s term.​

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