China and India are expected to drive the global mobile internet traffic, as expected. However, in addition to China and India, Pakistan and Indonesia are also in the list of nations which are projected to drive 50% of all new mobile internet subscriber growth between until 2025 according to GSMA Intelligence.
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The research arm of mobile industry body GSMA’s latest Mobile Trends Report, published recently, projects that the four Asian countries (China, India, Indonesia and Pakistan) and Nigeria will account for nearly 700 million of the 1.6 billion new internet users over the period.
China and India will be by far the biggest growth markets, adding 321 million and 308 million new mobile internet users respectively by 2025. Indonesia is expected to add 75 million new users, while Pakistan and Nigeria will add 53 million each.
The next generation will not just be mobile first in terms of mobile internet use, but mobile only, with GSMA Intelligence forecasting that there will be a total of 3.7 billion mobile-only internet users by 2025.
Additionally, the report forecasts that the revenue growth opportunity for the mobile operators will be conservative until established income streams develop for the IoT and 5G. The GSMA predicts nearly 400 million connections by 2022, and over 1.3 billion 5G connections by 2025, representing a global average penetration of 15%.
However, growth will be driven by limited nations, with China and India being the largest market. Meanwhile, South Korea is predicted to see the biggest take-up in terms of the percentage of the market’s mobile subscriber base by 2025 at 60%, followed by Japan and the US at nearly 50% each.
Globally, LTE will continue to drive the bulk of the revenue for the next 10 years, with GSMA Intelligence predicting that the technology will increase to account for 57% of total connections in 2025. Even if 5G’s total share exceeds 15% it is presumed to complement rather than replace LTE.